Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 3.345763 3.543501 3.754089 3.996337 4.268953 4.568247 4.924465
2025-03-23 3.045642 3.311017 3.608105 3.969616 4.403783 4.916925 5.583048
2025-03-30 2.795113 3.099703 3.454191 3.905723 4.479039 5.203605 6.227504
2025-04-06 2.573457 2.898487 3.288590 3.804513 4.491628 5.414307 6.830177
2025-04-13 2.368210 2.698641 3.104656 3.657703 4.423455 5.506283 7.297312
2025-04-20 2.268668 2.620495 3.064913 3.692258 4.604236 5.984584 8.523628
2025-04-27 2.187129 2.557893 3.038408 3.740258 4.811209 6.552455 10.173457
2025-05-04 2.135320 2.529093 3.053126 3.846811 5.124657 7.385152 12.913378
2025-05-11 2.065588 2.470788 3.021439 3.880382 5.327470 8.089492 16.069635
2025-05-18 1.988053 2.396390 2.960514 3.861547 5.437806 8.654127 19.641986
2025-05-25 1.886476 2.282922 2.835286 3.728535 5.323022 8.700090 21.507244
2025-06-01 1.818972 2.213431 2.769646 3.685184 5.368205 9.139386 26.208713
2025-06-08 1.726561 2.109919 2.655505 3.566075 5.279753 9.304047 30.888027
2025-06-15 1.674151 2.060926 2.620302 3.577009 5.455850 10.282249 49.324702
2025-06-22 1.616449 2.001364 2.565167 3.548610 5.549406 11.114950 88.418323
2025-06-29 1.554659 1.932868 2.491989 3.481512 5.549111 11.678343 189.377044
2025-07-06 1.487770 1.853997 2.398211 3.369282 5.429680 11.774677 448.326696
2025-07-13 1.458243 1.828989 2.387974 3.408912 5.673984 13.522103 NaN
2025-07-20 1.432580 1.808330 2.383116 3.458069 5.957801 15.896399 NaN
2025-07-27 1.417632 1.802933 2.402502 3.556347 6.403301 20.205715 NaN
2025-08-03 1.391835 1.779529 2.390223 3.590166 6.686710 24.567458 NaN
2025-08-10 1.359844 1.745056 2.357045 3.577431 6.831999 28.583771 NaN
2025-08-17 1.313288 1.686149 2.279198 3.464192 6.638731 28.319085 NaN